The Secrets of Economic Indicators (Bernard Baumohl, 2004)

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  • GDP and its components (100%)
    • Consumption (71% )
      • Goods (30%) + Services (41%)
        • Retail sales
        • Consumer installment credit
        • Personal income and spending
        • Employment report
        • New claims for unemployment insurance
        • Consumer confidence and sentiment surveys
        • MBA - mortgage refinancing
        • Cambbridge consumer credit index
        • ABC/Money consumer comfort index
        • Real earnings
        • Auto sales
        • Chain store sales
    • Business Fixed Investments (17%)
      • Nonresidential (12%)
        • Industrial production
        • Capacity utilisation
        • Orders for durable goods
        • ISM surveys
        • Federal Reserve Bank regional surveys
        • Factory orders
        • Manufacturers' shipments, invetories and orders
      • Residential (5%)
        • Housing starts
        • New single-family home sales
        • Existing home sales
        • MBA mortgage applications
        • NAHB survey on home building
    • Change in business inventories (<1%)
      • Manufacturing and trade inventories
    • Government spending (18%)
      • Construction spending
      • Federal budget balance report
    • Net exports (-5%)
      • International trade
      • Current account balance
  • Inflation
    • Consumer price index
    • Product price index
    • Employment cost index
    • Non-farm productivity
    • Unit labour cost
    • Import and export prices
    • Employer costs for employee compensation
  • Most influential U.S. economic indicators
    • Employment situation
    • Weekly claims for unemployment insurance
    • Help-wanted advertising index
    • Corporate layoff announcements
    • Mass layoff statistics (MLS)
    • Personal income and spending
    • Retail sales
    • E-commerce retail sales
    • Weekly chain store sales
    • Consumer credit outstanding
    • Cambridge consumer credit index
    • Consumer confidence index
    • Survey of consumer sentiment
    • ABC news/money magazine consumer comfort index
    • UBS index of investor optimism
    • Gross domestic product (GDP)
    • Durable goods orders
    • Factory orders
    • Business inventories
    • Industrial production and capacity utilisation
    • Institute for supply management (ISM) manufacturing survey
    • Institute for supply management (ISM) non-manufacturing business survey
    • Chicago purchasing managers index (business barameter)
    • Index of leading economic indicators (LEI)
    • Housing starts and building permits
    • Existing home sales
    • New home sales
    • Housing market index: national association of home builders (NAHB)
    • Weekly mortgage applications survey and the national deliquency survey
    • Construction spending
    • Federal reserve bank of New York: Empire state manufacturing survey
    • Federal reserve bank of Philadelphia: business outlook survey
    • Federal reserve bank of Kansas city: manufacturing survey of the 10th district
    • Federal reserve bank of Richmond: manufacturing activity for the 5th district
    • Federal reserve bank of Chicago: national activity index (CFNAI)
    • The federal reserve board's beige book
    • International trade in goods and services
    • Current account balance (summary of international transactions)
    • Consumer price index (CPI)
    • Producer price index (PPI)
    • Employment cost index
    • Import and export prices
    • Productivity and costs
    • Employer costs for employee compensation
    • Real earnings
    • Yield curve
  • Most influential Non-U.S. economic indicators
    • German industrial production
    • German IFO business survey
    • German consumer price index (CPI)
    • Japan's Tankan survey
    • Japan industrial production
    • France monthly business survey (INSEE)
    • Eurozone - manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI)
    • Global - manufacturing purchasing managers index
    • OECD composit leading indicators (CLI)
    • China industrial production
    • Brazil industrial production

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