The Grid: The Decision-making Tool for Every Business (Including Yours) (Matt Watkinson, 2017)


  • Desirability x customer = Wants & needs
    • Values & beliefs
      • How do customers describe or identify themselves?
      • What values do your customers want to express through their product choices?
      • What beliefs need to change for your offering to succeed? How will you do this?
    • Goals
      • What are your customers’ super objectives?
      • What hidden goals or subtext does your customer have?
      • How do you know if your customer has achieved their goals successfully? What are their success criteria?
    • Barriers
    • What equipment does your customer already have that you must work with? Does this make a barrier? What ways of working might your offering impact?
    • Can you reduce the effort required to get customers started with your product or service?
    • What financial barriers stand in your target customer’s way? Can you find a way to dismantle them?
    • Operational barriers
      • Installation
      • Compatibility
      • Competing technologies
      • Functional risk
      • Distribution and network effect
    • Experiential barrier
      • Trialability
      • Training and expertise
      • Fallback options
      • Learned behaviours, mental models/MAYA (most advanced yet acceptable)
    • Financial barriers
      • Upfront cost
      • Switching cost
      • Financial risk
  • Desirability x market = Rivalry
    • Category
      • Premium: more for more
      • Aspirational: more for the same
      • Value for money: more for less
      • Bargain: same for less
      • Budget: less for less
      • Middle ground
      • Overpriced: same for more
      • Sub standard: less for same
      • Rip off: less for more
      • What categories do your products or services belong to? Are they clear to the customer?
      • Is demand for the category growing or shrinking?
      • What entry and exit barriers exist for the category? Are they changing?
    • Territory
      • Is your territory large enough to support the business you want to run?
      • Which territory would offer the greatest demand for your offerings?
      • If you were to change or expand your territory, how might it affect the rest of the grid?
    • Alternatives & substitutes
      • What are the direct alternatives your customers will choose between? What are their strengths and weaknesses?
      • What substitutes do customers have? Are they a growing concern?
      • Is your own a range a problem? Can customers easily choose between your offerings?
  • Desirability x organisation = Offerings
    • Proposition
      • What aspects of existing alternatives can you improve upon, and will the target customer care?
      • Is your combination of rationales sufficiently distinctive from those of your rivals?
      • Where can you surpass industry norms? Where can you outperform alternatives?
    • Brand appeal
      • What associations do you want people to have with your brand? What associations have they formed independently?
      • Do you express your brand values consistently?
      • Where are the gaps between your brand image and brand reality?
    • Customer experience
      • Memorable (bad) → adequate service → forgettable interactions (zone of tolerance) → desired service → memorable (good)
      • Do your customers’ journeys end on a high?
      • How might setting better expectations improve customer satisfaction?
      • If your customers were in charge for a day, what one thing would they change?
  • Profitability x customer = Revenue
    • Revenue model
      • Auction
      • Fixed price
      • Pay as you go
      • Licensing
      • Performance-based
      • Razor and blade
      • Subscription
      • Which revenue model is best suited to monetising your offering?
      • What restrictions does your current revenue model put on your offering?
      • How might your revenue model be limiting the desirability of your products or services?
    • Price
      • Are you selling your product or service at the optimum price? How do you know?
      • Do you manage prices on an ongoing basis, or set them and forget about them?
      • How might discounting be impacting your profitability?
    • Volume
      • Do your volume targets reflect your brand position?
      • Which elements of the grid offer the greatest potential to increase your volumes?
      • Do you have a broad enough range of metrics to identify the real opportunity areas?
  • Profitability x market = Bargaining power
    • With customers
      • Might your decisions be creating resentment amongst your buyers or suppliers?
      • What might the long-term consequences be?
      • Is the risk worth the reward?
      • What factors are affecting your customers’ bargaining power?
    • With suppliers
      • The more you buy the more power you have.
      • The harder it is for you to switch, the less power you have.
      • The more important your product, the more power you have.
      • The more rivals you have, the less power you have.
      • The more easily they could do your job, the less power you have.
      • Do you choose suppliers with bargaining power in mind?
      • How might changing rivalry affect your bargaining power?
    • Rules and regulations
      • How does the regulatory landscape impact each of the nine boxes of your grid?
      • Are there any upcoming regulatory changes?
      • How might they affect each of the boxes on the grid?
  • Profitability x organisation = Costs
    • Fixed costs
      • What are the biggest fixed costs within the business and could they be reduced?
      • Are headcount costs under strict control?
    • Variable costs
      • Do you hold people accountable for cost reduction?
      • Where could you eliminate waste from your operations?
      • Where is the optimum cost structure for your business, considering your offerings, price point and volumes? How might that change over time?
      • How does your cost structure impact the other elements of the grid, like rivalry, imitability or adaptability?
      • How might your current cost structure be limiting your strategic options?
    • Capital expenditure
      • Waste: overproduction, staff waiting, overprocessing or incorrect processing, defects.
      • Are your management accounts good enough for you to make informed decisions about costs?
      • How might a decision to reduce costs impact the rest of the grid?
      • What is the key constraint in your business? How would your investment impact it?
      • What is the benefit of the expenditure? How does this translate into cash over the lifetime of the investment?
      • What would the return on investment be?
  • Longevity x customer = Customer base
    • Awareness
      • Have a clear objective and measurable success criteria.
      • Have a clear audience in mind.
      • Create distinctive assets.
      • Remind them of you.
      • Manage expectations.
      • Craft a simple message.
      • Identify your triggers.
      • Appeal to the emotions.
      • Maintain a consistent, continuous presence.
      • Would you pass the logo swap test? If your product is easy to recognise?
      • Can you clearly explain your product in a couple of sentences?
      • Does your communication reinforce your rationales?
      • Do your communications have an emotional appeal?
    • Acquisition
      • Should acquiring new customers be a stronger priority for you?
      • What proportion of your sales comes from light or infrequent buyers?
    • Retention
      • Retention/loyalty schemes.
      • Contractual terms.
      • Personalisation.
      • Cross and upsell.
      • Ecosystems and reduce interoperability.
      • Habit-forming.
      • Increase satisfaction, or is it desirability.
      • What techniques will have the greatest impact on retention?
      • Can you improve satisfaction enough to create true loyalty?
      • Metrics: customers, retention (and churn) rate, customer profitability, customer lifetime value, acquisition and retention costs, net promoter score and word of mouth index.
      • Are you measuring the right things?
      • What are the metrics telling you?
      • Where do the greatest opportunities lie for your business?
  • Longevity x market = Imitability
    • Legal protection
      • What intellectual property do you own?
      • What policies or procedures protect your intellectual property? Do people follow them?
      • Which IP strategy best serves your current goals? Full exclusion, licensing or open access?
    • Durable advantages
      • Do you have a competitive advantage? If so, how durable is it?
      • How might you combine the sources within the chapter to create a durable advantage over rivals?
      • Network effect: the more providers will attract more users while there are more users it will attract more providers.
      • Is the desirability of your offering impacted by network effect?
      • How could existing customers help drive the growth of the business?
      • Which communities should you target to generate early interest?
    • Competitor lag
      • How can you avoid going head to head with market leaders, so they will ignore you?
      • Would bundling or unbundling make it harder for rivals to copy you?
      • What problems are current popular products creating? How might you solve those?
  • Longevity x organisation = Adaptability
    • Cash position
      • Extending payment terms to suppliers might upset them, decrease in service or increase in pricing.
      • Carpet-bomb approach to create many products might create decision fatigue and consumer move to rival (e.g. Lego).
      • Factories are set to produce stock even if demand is low.
      • How might you improve your cash position?
      • How can you reduce working capital?
      • Are employees aware of how their decisions impact your cash position?
    • Scalability or capacity
      • How easily can your business scale up or down?
      • Is there enough slack in your operations to allow you to respond to change?
    • Complexity and rigidity
    • Stages: outburst → steady growth → conservation → high noon → decline → reorganisation
    • What stage of the adaptive cycle is your business in?
    • Does it look like you’re heading to the next?
    • Craftsmen become tinkerers where they are obsessed with incremental improvements.
    • Builders become imperialists where they overreach into unfamiliar areas.
    • Pioneers become escapists where they turn off difficult customers.
    • Salesmen become drifters where they think they can sell anything and have a jumbled portfolio.
    • Are you falling prey to one of the 4 dangerous trajectories of the Icarus Paradox? If so, which one?
    • Have you fallen into the trap of the 1st version - dismissing new alternatives because they lack the polish of your own?
    • Should you be working on the next big thing already? If not now, when?


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