The Complete TurtleTrader (Michael Covel, 2007)
- Optimal trade
- What is it the state of the market?
- What is the volatility of the market?
- What is the equity being traded?
- What is the system or the trading orientation?
- What is the risk aversion of the trader or client?
- Types of error
- Type I error, also known as an error of the fi rst kind or a false negative, is the error of rejecting something that should have been accepted.
- Type II error, also known as an error of the second kind or a false positive, is the error of accepting something that should have been rejected.
- Expectations = Winning Percent x Average Winner - Losing Percent x Average Loser
- Top 10 hedge fund earners (2005)
- James Simons, Renaissance Technologies Corp.: $1.5 billion
- T. Boone Pickens, Jr., BP Capital Management: $1.4 billion
- George Soros, Soros Fund Management: $840 million
- Steven Cohen, SAC Capital Advisors: $550 million
- Paul Tudor Jones II, Tudor Investment Corp.: $500 million
- Edward Lampert, ESL Investments: $425 million
- Bruce Kovner, Caxton Associates: $400 million
- David Tepper, Appaloosa Management: $400 million
- David Shaw, DE Shaw & Co.: $340 million
- Stephen Mandel, Jr., Lone Pine Capital: $275 million
- Tips
- Trade long or short, but not both.
- Trade the same number of contracts in all markets.
- If you have $100,000 to risk, you should risk $25,000 on every trade.
- When you enter, you should know where to exit if a loss occurs.
- You can never go broke taking profits.
- The majority of traders are always wrong.
- Average profits should be about 3 or 4 times average losses.
- A trader should be willing to let profits turn into losses.
- A very high percentage of trades should be profits.
- Needing and wanting money are good motivators to good trading.
- One’s natural inclinations are good guides to decision making in trading.
- Luck is an ingredient in successful trading over the long run.
- It’s good to follow hunches in trading.
- Trends are not likely to persist.
- It’s good to average down when buying.
- A trader learns more from his losses than his profits.
- Others’ opinions of the market are good to follow.
- Buying dips and selling rallies is a good strategy.
- It’s important to take a profit most of the time.
- Ask these questions before making the trade
- What is it the state of the market?
- What is the volatility of the market?
- What is the equity being traded?
- What is the system or the trading orientation?
- What is the risk aversion of the trader or client?
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