The Complete TurtleTrader (Michael Covel, 2007)

  • Optimal trade
      1. What is it the state of the market?
      2. What is the volatility of the market?
      3. What is the equity being traded?
      4. What is the system or the trading orientation?
      5. What is the risk aversion of the trader or client?
    • Types of error
      • Type I error, also known as an error of the fi rst kind or a false negative, is the error of rejecting something that should have been accepted.
      • Type II error, also known as an error of the second kind or a false positive, is the error of accepting something that should have been rejected.
    • Expectations = Winning Percent x Average Winner - Losing Percent x Average Loser
    • Top 10 hedge fund earners (2005)
        1. James Simons, Renaissance Technologies Corp.: $1.5 billion
        2. T. Boone Pickens, Jr., BP Capital Management: $1.4 billion
        3. George Soros, Soros Fund Management: $840 million
        4. Steven Cohen, SAC Capital Advisors: $550 million
        5. Paul Tudor Jones II, Tudor Investment Corp.: $500 million
        6. Edward Lampert, ESL Investments: $425 million
        7. Bruce Kovner, Caxton Associates: $400 million
        8. David Tepper, Appaloosa Management: $400 million
        9. David Shaw, DE Shaw & Co.: $340 million
        10. Stephen Mandel, Jr., Lone Pine Capital: $275 million
      • Tips
        1. Trade long or short, but not both.
        2. Trade the same number of contracts in all markets.
        3. If you have $100,000 to risk, you should risk $25,000 on every trade. 
        4. When you enter, you should know where to exit if a loss occurs. 
        5. You can never go broke taking profits.
        6. The majority of traders are always wrong.
        7. Average profits should be about 3 or 4 times average losses. 
        8. A trader should be willing to let profits turn into losses. 
        9. A very high percentage of trades should be profits. 
        10. Needing and wanting money are good motivators to good trading.
        11. One’s natural inclinations are good guides to decision making in trading.
        12. Luck is an ingredient in successful trading over the long run.
        13. It’s good to follow hunches in trading.
        14. Trends are not likely to persist.
        15. It’s good to average down when buying.
        16. A trader learns more from his losses than his profits.
        17. Others’ opinions of the market are good to follow.
        18. Buying dips and selling rallies is a good strategy.
        19. It’s important to take a profit most of the time.
      • Ask these questions before making the trade
        1. What is it the state of the market?
        2. What is the volatility of the market?
        3. What is the equity being traded?
        4. What is the system or the trading orientation?
        5. What is the risk aversion of the trader or client?

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